Ivolution Research Journal · Preregistration

AM- vs PM-settled SPX monthly expiration last-hour pinning

On monthly SPX expiration days, AM-settled contracts (settled at the open via SET) leave weaker final-hour pinning than PM-settled expirations, because the large AM gamma is already gone by the afternoon.

CAL-07 · v1·Proposed·Plausible — unproven·Calendar

Cite as: CAL-07: AM- vs PM-settled SPX monthly expiration last-hour pinning. Ivolution Research Journal.

Publication status

The study is pre-registered and awaits execution. No result exists yet.

The abstract and product-safe scope metadata are public. Methodology, falsification, limitations, citations, and governed results for CAL-07 are available to Terminal + AI members.

Symbols

SPX

Regimes

Aggregate · Positive gamma · pin · Positive gamma · drift · Negative gamma · trend · Negative gamma · chop · Event day

Horizons

60 min · close

CAL-07: AM- vs PM-settled SPX monthly expiration last-hour pinning — Ivolution Research Journal