Ivolution Research Journal · Working paper

Third-Friday SOQ charm overnight drift

The overnight return into monthly (3rd-Friday) SOQ-settled expirations is positively biased and partially reverses by midday, scaling with the magnitude of dealer charm, on those days and not on matched non-expiration days.

CAL-08 · v1·Proposed·Plausible — unproven·Calendar

Cite as: CAL-08: Third-Friday SOQ charm overnight drift. Ivolution Research Journal.

Publication status

The study is published as a working paper while a required data source remains unavailable. No result exists yet.

The abstract and product-safe scope metadata are public. Methodology, falsification, limitations, citations, and governed results for CAL-08 are available to Terminal + AI members.

Symbols

SPX · SPY · QQQ

Regimes

Aggregate · Positive gamma · pin · Positive gamma · drift · Negative gamma · trend · Negative gamma · chop · Event day

Horizons

30 min · 120 min · close

CAL-08: Third-Friday SOQ charm overnight drift — Ivolution Research Journal