Ivolution Research Journal · Working paper

OPEX-week return pattern, gamma-conditioned

The monthly option-expiration week shows an abnormal index return relative to matched non-OPEX weeks, and the sign/size depends on the prevailing dealer-gamma regime entering the week.

CAL-09 · v1·Proposed·Plausible — unproven·Calendar

Cite as: CAL-09: OPEX-week return pattern, gamma-conditioned. Ivolution Research Journal.

Publication status

The study is published as a working paper while a required data source remains unavailable. No result exists yet.

The abstract and product-safe scope metadata are public. Methodology, falsification, limitations, citations, and governed results for CAL-09 are available to Terminal + AI members.

Symbols

SPX · SPY · QQQ

Regimes

Aggregate · Positive gamma · pin · Positive gamma · drift · Negative gamma · trend · Negative gamma · chop · Event day

Horizons

close

CAL-09: OPEX-week return pattern, gamma-conditioned — Ivolution Research Journal