Ivolution Research Journal · Refutation

BODY-25 Surge fade — asymmetric backfill falsification

Directly fading a BODY-25 Surge event with a 10-point NQ target and 20-point stop produces positive cost-adjusted expectancy and improves on matched non-Surge large-candle backfill.

MST-17 · v1·Refuted·Narrative — weak evidence·Microstructure

Cite as: MST-17: BODY-25 Surge fade — asymmetric backfill falsification. Ivolution Research Journal.

Publication status

The pre-registered hypothesis was refuted on the governed research record. This publication documents the null rather than presenting an edge.

The abstract and product-safe scope metadata are public. Methodology, falsification, limitations, citations, and governed results for MST-17 are available to Terminal + AI members.

Symbols

ES · NQ

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Aggregate

Horizons

240 min

MST-17: BODY-25 Surge fade — asymmetric backfill falsification — Ivolution Research Journal