Ivolution Research Journal · Refutation

Causal prior-session extreme sweep-reclaim reversal

The first causal ES one-tick breach of an immediately prior same-contract RTH extreme that closes back inside the prior range predicts positive net 30-minute inward-fade return, and the identical rule replicates unchanged on NQ.

MST-26 · v1·Refuted·Narrative — weak evidence·Microstructure

Cite as: MST-26: Causal prior-session extreme sweep-reclaim reversal. Ivolution Research Journal.

Publication status

The pre-registered hypothesis was refuted on the governed research record. This publication documents the null rather than presenting an edge.

The abstract and product-safe scope metadata are public. Methodology, falsification, limitations, citations, and governed results for MST-26 are available to Terminal + AI members.

Symbols

ES · NQ

Regimes

Aggregate

Horizons

15 min · 30 min

MST-26: Causal prior-session extreme sweep-reclaim reversal — Ivolution Research Journal