Ivolution Research Journal · Refutation

Causal overnight-range breakout continuation and NQ replication

The first decisive ES regular-hours break of the fully completed 18:00-09:29 ET overnight range carries positive net direction-following return over the next 60 minutes, with untouched NQ replication required before candidate status.

MST-27 · v1·Refuted·Narrative — weak evidence·Microstructure

Cite as: MST-27: Causal overnight-range breakout continuation and NQ replication. Ivolution Research Journal.

Publication status

The pre-registered hypothesis was refuted on the governed research record. This publication documents the null rather than presenting an edge.

The abstract and product-safe scope metadata are public. Methodology, falsification, limitations, citations, and governed results for MST-27 are available to Terminal + AI members.

Symbols

ES · NQ

Regimes

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60 min