Ivolution Research Journal · Refutation

Post-publication overnight-sign forecast of the closing half-hour

The sign of the same-contract ES return from the prior 15:59 ET close to the current 09:30 open predicts positive net direction-following return during 15:30-16:00 in the post-publication period, with untouched NQ transfer required before candidate status.

MST-28 · v1·Refuted·Established literature·Microstructure

Cite as: MST-28: Post-publication overnight-sign forecast of the closing half-hour. Ivolution Research Journal.

Publication status

The pre-registered hypothesis was refuted on the governed research record. This publication documents the null rather than presenting an edge.

The abstract and product-safe scope metadata are public. Methodology, falsification, limitations, citations, and governed results for MST-28 are available to Terminal + AI members.

Symbols

ES · NQ

Regimes

Aggregate

Horizons

30 min

MST-28: Post-publication overnight-sign forecast of the closing half-hour — Ivolution Research Journal