Ivolution Research Journal · Refutation

High-opening-volume interaction in literature-exact intraday momentum

Among literature-exact prior-close-through-09:59 composite-tail sessions, opening volume at or above its strictly prior 252-session 75th percentile identifies more profitable 15:30-open to 15:59-close continuation than other tail sessions after outcome-blind matching on composite-tail surprise, and the interaction transfers unchanged from ES to sealed NQ.

MST-33 · v1·Refuted·Established literature·Microstructure

Cite as: MST-33: High-opening-volume interaction in literature-exact intraday momentum. Ivolution Research Journal.

Publication status

The pre-registered hypothesis was refuted on the governed research record. This publication documents the null rather than presenting an edge.

The abstract and product-safe scope metadata are public. Methodology, falsification, limitations, citations, and governed results for MST-33 are available to Terminal + AI members.

Symbols

ES · NQ

Regimes

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Horizons

1 session

MST-33: High-opening-volume interaction in literature-exact intraday momentum — Ivolution Research Journal