Ivolution Research Journal · Refutation

HARQ measurement-error correction beyond total HAR-RV

At 10:00 ET, a strictly prior realized-quarticity adjustment to the daily HAR coefficient reduces rolling out-of-sample remaining-RTH forecast loss beyond exact MST-40.

MST-43 · v1·Refuted·Established literature·Microstructure

Cite as: MST-43: HARQ measurement-error correction beyond total HAR-RV. Ivolution Research Journal.

Publication status

The pre-registered hypothesis was refuted on the governed research record. This publication documents the null rather than presenting an edge.

The abstract and product-safe scope metadata are public. Methodology, falsification, limitations, citations, and governed results for MST-43 are available to Terminal + AI members.

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ES · NQ

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360 min

MST-43: HARQ measurement-error correction beyond total HAR-RV — Ivolution Research Journal