Ivolution Research Journal · Refutation

Nonlinear overnight/opening volatility-state confirmation

A single jointly confirmed high overnight/opening-range state improves exact MST-48 remaining-RTH variance forecasts under paired QLIKE, MSE, and MAE loss.

MST-59 · v1·Refuted·Plausible — unproven·Microstructure

Cite as: MST-59: Nonlinear overnight/opening volatility-state confirmation. Ivolution Research Journal.

Publication status

The pre-registered hypothesis was refuted on the governed research record. This publication documents the null rather than presenting an edge.

The abstract and product-safe scope metadata are public. Methodology, falsification, limitations, citations, and governed results for MST-59 are available to Terminal + AI members.

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ES · NQ

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360 min

MST-59: Nonlinear overnight/opening volatility-state confirmation — Ivolution Research Journal