Ivolution Research Journal · Working paper

Prior VX settlement slope → forward realized range

After the prior completed session's VX front slope ranks in its bottom decile, SPX realizes a wider 1–5 session range than its matched baseline; after a top-decile slope, SPX realizes a narrower range, conditional on the prior VIX-level tercile.

VRP-03 · v2·Proposed·Plausible — unproven·Vol risk premium

Cite as: VRP-03: Prior VX settlement slope → forward realized range. Ivolution Research Journal.

Publication status

The study is published as a working paper while a required data source remains unavailable. No result exists yet.

The abstract and product-safe scope metadata are public. Methodology, falsification, limitations, citations, and governed results for VRP-03 are available to Terminal + AI members.

Symbols

SPX

Regimes

Aggregate · Positive gamma · pin · Positive gamma · drift · Negative gamma · trend · Negative gamma · chop · Event day

Horizons

1 session · 3 sessions · 5 sessions

VRP-03: Prior VX settlement slope → forward realized range — Ivolution Research Journal