Ivolution Research Journal · Working paper

Vol-of-vol -> forward tail range

Sessions in the top quintile of vol-of-vol (dispersion of intraday ATM-IV changes) over trailing 20 sessions are followed by larger forward realized range than the matched baseline over 1/3 sessions.

VRP-10 · v1·Proposed·Plausible — unproven·Vol risk premium

Cite as: VRP-10: Vol-of-vol -> forward tail range. Ivolution Research Journal.

Publication status

The study is published as a working paper while a required data source remains unavailable. No result exists yet.

The abstract and product-safe scope metadata are public. Methodology, falsification, limitations, citations, and governed results for VRP-10 are available to Terminal + AI members.

Symbols

Not explicitly scoped

Regimes

Aggregate · Positive gamma · pin · Positive gamma · drift · Negative gamma · trend · Negative gamma · chop · Event day

Horizons

1 session · 3 sessions

VRP-10: Vol-of-vol -> forward tail range — Ivolution Research Journal