Ivolution Research Journal · Working paper

VIX term-structure slope predicts forward realized range

The VIX term-structure slope percentile predicts the next sessions' realized range relative to the priced expected move, beyond the VIX level itself.

VRP-13 · v1·Proposed·Established literature·Vol risk premium

Cite as: VRP-13: VIX term-structure slope predicts forward realized range. Ivolution Research Journal.

Publication status

The study is published as a working paper while a required data source remains unavailable. No result exists yet.

The abstract and product-safe scope metadata are public. Methodology, falsification, limitations, citations, and governed results for VRP-13 are available to Terminal + AI members.

Symbols

SPX · SPY · QQQ

Regimes

Aggregate · Positive gamma · pin · Positive gamma · drift · Negative gamma · trend · Negative gamma · chop · Event day

Horizons

1 session · 3 sessions · 5 sessions

VRP-13: VIX term-structure slope predicts forward realized range — Ivolution Research Journal