Ivolution Research Journal · Preregistration

Similarity-engine skill check (honesty gate)

The median forward path of the top-N analogue days returned by find_similar_days predicts the actual forward path (lower median absolute path error over the next 60/120 min) better than the unconditional median path over the same history.

X-04 · v1·Proposed·Plausible — unproven·Composites

Cite as: X-04: Similarity-engine skill check (honesty gate). Ivolution Research Journal.

Publication status

The study is pre-registered and awaits execution. No result exists yet.

The abstract and product-safe scope metadata are public. Methodology, falsification, limitations, citations, and governed results for X-04 are available to Terminal + AI members.

Symbols

Not explicitly scoped

Regimes

Aggregate · Positive gamma · pin · Positive gamma · drift · Negative gamma · trend · Negative gamma · chop · Event day

Horizons

60 min · 120 min

X-04: Similarity-engine skill check (honesty gate) — Ivolution Research Journal