Ivolution Research Journal · Working paper

Directional flow x VRP state (interaction)

The forward excess drift after strong signed options flow is conditional on the variance-risk-premium state: weaker when vol is rich (moves already priced) and stronger when vol is cheap.

X-10 · v1·Proposed·Plausible — unproven·Composites

Cite as: X-10: Directional flow x VRP state (interaction). Ivolution Research Journal.

Publication status

The study is published as a working paper while a required data source remains unavailable. No result exists yet.

The abstract and product-safe scope metadata are public. Methodology, falsification, limitations, citations, and governed results for X-10 are available to Terminal + AI members.

Symbols

Not explicitly scoped

Regimes

Aggregate · Positive gamma · pin · Positive gamma · drift · Negative gamma · trend · Negative gamma · chop · Event day

Horizons

30 min · 60 min · 120 min

X-10: Directional flow x VRP state (interaction) — Ivolution Research Journal